Glossary/Audience data/Predictive audiences

What are predictive audiences in advertising?

How predictive audiences are built, what they are used for, and their limits.

Written by Samhub with the help of AI·Updated 13 Oct 2026·3 min read
Definition

Predictive audiences are groups of people defined by what a model predicts they will do, such as buy a car, move house or subscribe, based on patterns in past behavior.

How they are built

01

Find past examples

People who did the action before.

02

Learn the patterns

What they did in the weeks before.

03

Score everyone

How likely each person is to act.

04

Pick a threshold

Balance audience size and accuracy.

Common uses

PredictionUsed for
Likely to buyIntent audiences for advertisers
Likely to subscribePaywall offers
Likely to churnRetention campaigns
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Check the results

A prediction is only useful if it performs better than a broad audience. Measure the lift of each predictive audience before selling it.

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Addressability at Stampen Media after moving its reader data into one layer with Samhub.

Frequently asked questions

It depends on the data and model. Test against a control group.

Lookalikes resemble a seed group; predictive audiences forecast an action.

Regularly, as behavior and seasons change.

Related terms

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